Wednesday, 11. January 2006

Blick in die Kristallkugel

Ed Felten hat in seinem "Freedom to Tinker"-Blog Voraussagen für 2006 zur Diskussion gestellt.
In jedem Fall lesens- und diskussionswert.

Nur zwei Beispiele:

(1) DRM technology will still fail to prevent widespread infringement. In a related development, pigs will still fail to fly.

...

(17) HD-DVD and Blu-ray, touted as the second coming of the DVD, will look increasingly like the second coming of the Laserdisc.


Lustig auch der Rückblick auf die Vorhersagen von 2005.
Mein Lieblingskommentar:

(10) DRM technology will still fail to prevent widespread infringement. In a related development, pigs will still fail to fly.

I predict this every year, and it’s always right. This prediction is so obvious that it’s almost unfair to count it.

Verdict: Right.

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